Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.045832e-03 0.001191 0.001338 0.001497 0.001664 0.001833 0.002017
2025-07-13 8.101297e-04 0.001016 0.001233 0.001474 0.001733 0.002003 0.002301
2025-07-20 6.032775e-04 0.000847 0.001113 0.001419 0.001756 0.002112 0.002514
2025-07-27 4.956095e-04 0.000773 0.001087 0.001458 0.001874 0.002321 0.002830
2025-08-03 3.780723e-04 0.000673 0.001022 0.001445 0.001929 0.002456 0.003063
2025-08-10 2.494949e-04 0.000541 0.000907 0.001366 0.001903 0.002496 0.003187
2025-08-17 1.676504e-04 0.000456 0.000839 0.001334 0.001925 0.002585 0.003362
2025-08-24 8.730755e-05 0.000351 0.000735 0.001252 0.001883 0.002598 0.003448
2025-08-31 4.703408e-05 0.000295 0.000690 0.001237 0.001916 0.002694 0.003624
2025-09-07 2.461011e-05 0.000262 0.000671 0.001253 0.001984 0.002828 0.003842
2025-09-14 4.219858e-06 0.000209 0.000616 0.001219 0.001988 0.002886 0.003971
2025-09-21 3.820050e-09 0.000187 0.000608 0.001243 0.002063 0.003024 0.004191
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000182 0.000637 0.001336 0.002246 0.003316 0.004619
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000131 0.000582 0.001313 0.002285 0.003441 0.004858
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000078 0.000509 0.001260 0.002284 0.003517 0.005041
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000060 0.000500 0.001297 0.002398 0.003731 0.005386
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000034 0.000460 0.001285 0.002446 0.003866 0.005636
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000007 0.000384 0.001210 0.002407 0.003892 0.005758
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000339 0.001179 0.002426 0.003987 0.005959
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000272 0.001102 0.002377 0.003995 0.006055
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000243 0.001087 0.002412 0.004106 0.006272
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000231 0.001102 0.002487 0.004267 0.006548
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000196 0.001070 0.002493 0.004340 0.006718